Method
The arithmetic
The forecast is a chain of four multiplications, kept deliberately shallow so every step can be checked by hand. The budget buys clicks at your cost per click, a share of those clicks convert, each conversion is worth the average order value, and the resulting revenue over the budget is the ROAS. Cost per acquisition falls out of the same chain as budget over conversions.
clicks = budget ÷ CPC · conversions = clicks × CVR% · revenue = conversions × order value · ROAS = revenue ÷ budget · CPA = budget ÷ conversions
Worked example
One run through the numbers
A budget of 5,000 at a cost per click of 2.50 buys 2,000 clicks. At a 3% conversion rate that is 60 orders, and at an order value of 120 that is 7,200 of revenue — a ROAS of 1.44 and a cost per acquisition of 83.33.
Swap in your own figures — the result recalculates as you type.
Asked often
Ad Budget Calculator: questions that come up
How much should I spend on ads?
This tool will not answer that, because the answer depends on figures only you have. What it does is turn a candidate budget into the clicks, orders, and revenue it implies, so you can see whether that revenue clears your break-even threshold before you commit rather than after.
Why is my real cost per acquisition higher than the forecast?
Usually because the conversion rate used was measured on a warmer audience than the ads will reach, or because the cost per click rose as budget increased. Re-run the forecast with the numbers the campaign actually produced in its first week rather than the ones it was planned with.
Should the budget include agency and creative costs?
Not in this chain — it models media only, which is what buys the clicks. Add those costs separately when comparing against break-even, because a plan that clears break-even on media alone can still lose money once production is counted.
Can I use this for impression-based buying?
Yes, but start a step earlier. Convert the CPM and click-through rate into a cost per click first with the CPM, CPC and CTR tool, then bring that figure back here.